EUR/USD

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EUR/USD due for a corrective bounce?

Prospects of some coordinated central bank action and the lack of fresh news may encourage short-side profit-taking...

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Yesterday 11:41 AM

US Dollar Index reaches highest level since June 2002 ahead of the Fed

Be wary of a “Buy the rumor, sell the fact” trade in the US Dollar after the Fed’s decision later today.

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September 21, 2022 10:33 AM
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US headline PPI as expected; Core PPI higher

The reaction to today’s PPI print was relatively muted compared to that of yesterday’s CPI print.

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September 14, 2022 10:47 AM

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US CPI comes in hotter than expected! Is a 75bps rate hike locked in?

US August CPI came in hotter than expected, but the bigger surprise was the strength in the Core CPI reading.

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September 13, 2022 10:10 AM

EUR/USD probes parity as ECB hikes by 75 basis points

The ECB said inflation remains far too high and is likely to stay above target for an extended period.

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September 8, 2022 08:53 AM

ECB interest rate rise: Supersize or jumbo?

ECB preview: The big question this month is not if the ECB will hike but whether it be by 50 or 75 basis points?

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September 6, 2022 06:25 AM
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DXY hits the brakes - will the Euro fly right by?

The initial reaction in the FX market was as expected yesterday after Fed Chair Powell’s hawkish remarks at Jackson Hole.

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August 29, 2022 11:19 PM
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Parity (1.0000) acts like a magnet on EUR/USD ahead of EU and US data

The gravitational pull of parity remains in play ahead of key data sets this week on EUR/USD, where a clear divergence of data could see it break one way of the other.

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August 25, 2022 01:57 AM

European and US PMIs weaker; EUR/USD remains near parity

With the Jackson Hole Symposium this Thursday and Friday and the Fed stating that it is “data dependent”, the US data matters more at this point.

EUR/USD saw its first daily close below parity since late 2002

Whilst EUR/USD flirted with the parity level in July, the anti-dollar saw a clear daily close beneath this key level yesterday for the first time in nearly 20-years.

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Weak US CPI means EUR/USD 1.05 no longer unrealistic

The US inflation report lived up to expectations in terms of market impact!

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August 10, 2022 01:30 PM

EUR/USD eyes breakout as US manufacturing prices, construction spending tumble

Today’s US data is consistent with what the markets have been pricing in over the last few weeks: namely, peak inflation and falling economic activity.

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August 1, 2022 10:45 AM
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US Advanced GDP for Q2 is negative; Is the US in a recession?

The textbook definition of a recession is 2 quarters of negative growth. However, many economists don’t abide by that rule.

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July 28, 2022 01:57 PM
Research

EUR/USD recovers on Ukraine-Russia deal ahead of busy week

Part of the reason why the EUR/USD recovered had nothing to do with the euro, but everything to do with the US dollar.

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EUR/USD perks up ahead of ECB, UK CPI beats

UK inflation has continued to surge at a rate that a 50-bp hike now appears the more likely move at the BOE’s next meeting.

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ECB Preview: Markets bet on 50 bp hike

There is a level of uncertainty in terms of whether it will be 25 or 50 basis point rate hike.

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Two trades to watch: GBP/USD, EUR/USD

GBP/USD rises as the jobs market boom continues. EUR/USD rises over 1.0150 ahead of CPI data.

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July 19, 2022 03:14 AM

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EUR/USD falls below parity. What now?

The next directional move in EUR/USD may depend on the outcome of the central bank meetings later in July.

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July 14, 2022 03:44 PM
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EUR/USD may bottom out soon

…the key question is: will there be a more pronounced breakdown of parity first, before it bottoms out?

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July 14, 2022 06:46 AM

US CPI comes in hot! US Dollar on the move

The US CPI print came out much hotter than expected 9.1% YoY. This print, combined with the strong employment data, should give the Fed confidence to hike at least 75bps

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July 13, 2022 10:05 AM
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US CPI preview: Will inflation overshoot again?

Annual CPI is expected to have accelerated to 8.8% in June from 8.6% in May.

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EUR/USD has just hit parity!

The final nail in the euro’s coffin was news of a considerable deterioration in the German economic outlook

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July 12, 2022 06:06 AM
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The champagne is on ice, the parity party awaits

A burst of dollar strength pushed EUR/USD to just 5 pip above parity – a level which has not been tested in just under 20 years.