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AUD/USD defends March low ahead of RBA and FOMC rate decisions

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) interest rate decision may do little to prop up AUD/USD as the central bank is expected to retain the current policy.

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By : David Song
May 1, 2023 02:22 PM
Research

Are the RBA toying with a terminal rate of 3.6%?

Whilst a terminal rate of 3.6% for the RBA seems unlikely, they have now made it a possibility with the slight change of wording in their latest statement.

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April 4, 2023 01:28 AM

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AUD/USD struggles to push above 200-Day SMA ahead of RBA

AUD/USD may face a pullback ahead of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meeting on April 4 as it struggles to push above the 200-Day SMA (0.6751).

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By : David Song
March 31, 2023 12:16 PM
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Australia's softer inflation could see the RBA hold rates next week

AUD pairs are broadly lower as inflation falls to 6.8% y/y (7.1% expected), bolstering expectations that the RBA will hold rates at their April meeting.

AUD/USD rate outlook mired by failure to test 200-Day SMA

AUD/USD appears to be reversing course ahead of the 200-Day SMA (0.6768) as it fails to clear the week high (0.6717).

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By : David Song
March 15, 2023 03:15 PM
Research

RBA Governor Lowe uses the ‘p’ word

On the back of a 25bp hawkish hike, with hypothesized the potential for the RBA to be nearing a pause. Less than 24 hours later, Governor Lowe comes right out and says it.

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March 7, 2023 10:13 PM
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AUD/USD defends January low ahead of RBA rate decision

AUD/USD appears to be defending the January low (0.6688) as it holds within last week’s range.

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By : David Song
March 6, 2023 04:00 PM
Research

The RBA are expected to hike by 25bp tomorrow

Whilst money markets favour a 25bp hike tomorrow, we shouldn’t discount the potential for a 15bp or even a 50bp hike.

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Four guys walk into a bar before central bank meetings…….

Will the RBA signal that they are going to pause the rate hike cycle?

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February 2, 2023 03:03 PM
Research

RBA hike rates by 25bp, more hikes to follow

The RBA used the last meeting of the year to hike interest rates by another 25bp – its eighth hike in as many meetings.

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December 5, 2022 11:25 PM
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The consensus is for the RBA to hike by 25bp tomorrow

Whilst the potential for a pause cannot be ignored, I suspect the RBA are more likely to hike rates by 25bp tomorrow as they do not meet again until February.

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December 4, 2022 08:32 PM
Research

The RBA's 25 vs 50bp hike debate is no longer ‘finely balanced’

The RBA’s November minutes lean towards 25bp hike/s with a pause along the way, with a 50bp hike likely requiring higher inflation expectations and wages.

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November 14, 2022 10:43 PM
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RBA hint at a pause, EUR/GBP continues higher

The RBA were already one of the less hawkish central banks, but that hasn’t prevented them from hinting at a pause regarding rate hikes today.

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November 10, 2022 12:12 AM
Currency exchange rate board of multiple currencies

“Less Hawkish” RBA weighs on AUD/NZD

With the RBA only hiking rates by 25bps at each of the last two meetings, the RBNZ is the more hawkish of the two central banks.

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November 1, 2022 11:05 AM
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Will the RBA repeat with a 25bp hike tomorrow?

The RBA are set to hold their November meeting tomorrow at 14:30 AEDT and, whilst the consensus is for a 25bp hike, it doesn’t mean they won’t do a 50bp one instead.

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October 30, 2022 10:18 PM
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Will the RBA repeat with a 25bp hike tomorrow?

The RBA are set to hold their November meeting tomorrow at 14:30 AEDT and, whilst the consensus is for a 25bp hike, it doesn’t mean they won’t do a 50bp one instead.

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October 30, 2022 10:18 PM

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AUD remains rangebound ahead of tomorrow’s inflation report

Australian inflation data is released tomorrow, and if it comes in hotter than expected – like it did on New Zealand – if adds another fly in the ointment for the RBA

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October 24, 2022 10:14 PM
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AUD remains rangebound ahead of tomorrow’s inflation report

Australian inflation data is released tomorrow, and if it comes in hotter than expected – like it did on New Zealand – if adds another fly in the ointment for the RBA

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October 24, 2022 10:14 PM
Bank notes of different currencies

EUR/AUD could trade above 1.6500!

EUR/AUD has been moving higher on the back of interest rate differentials. Will it continue if the ECB hikes 75bps next week and the RBA only hikes 25bps the week after?

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October 19, 2022 03:39 PM
Bank notes of different currencies

EUR/AUD could trade above 1.6500!

EUR/AUD has been moving higher on the back of interest rate differentials. Will it continue if the ECB hikes 75bps next week and the RBA only hikes 25bps the week after?

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October 19, 2022 03:39 PM
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Hawkish RBA Minutes give hope to Aussie bulls; AUD/USD

The RBA meets more often than many of its peers, and therefore, it felt justified in only raising rates by 25bps on October 4th.

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October 18, 2022 10:53 AM
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Hawkish RBA Minutes give hope to Aussie bulls; AUD/USD

The RBA meets more often than many of its peers, and therefore, it felt justified in only raising rates by 25bps on October 4th.

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October 18, 2022 10:53 AM