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AUD/USD: focus on underlying inflation, fade moves on headline volatility

In an environment of heightened risk aversion, sluggish global economic growth and continued grind higher in rates, a volatile monthly inflation indicator from Australia doesn’t scream as overly important.

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September 26, 2023 07:11 PM
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AUD/USD: Australia’s jobs report has few implications for RBA despite jobs surge

Australia’s August labour force survey had something for both AUD/USD bulls and bears, but in the end the detail does not meaningfully change the outlook for interest rates.

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September 13, 2023 10:26 PM
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AUD/USD: Price action suggests bearish sentiment nearing exhaustion point

AUD/USD downside has slowed despite a lot of negativity, bolstering the case for a near-term bounce ahead of key risk events later this week.

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September 10, 2023 10:44 PM

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AUD/USD: China sentiment in the driving seat as RBA settles in for extended pause

With the RBA on the sidelines, it means external factors will continue to drive movements in the AUD, ASX 200 and Australian bond futures for the foreseeable future.

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September 5, 2023 01:43 AM
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AUD/USD, ASX 200: growing risk of RBA turning neutral on interest rates

A playbook on how the AUD/USD, ASX 200 and Australian bonds should the RBA signal an end to rate hikes.

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September 3, 2023 09:37 PM
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AUD/USD bounce fizzles as droopy data lessens RBA rate hike risks

AUD/USD slumps on disappointing data, undermining the case for higher interest rates

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August 29, 2023 10:28 PM
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Hang Seng downside break eyes retest of 2022 lows

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng is arguably the ugliest index chart in the world right now, for good reason.

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August 21, 2023 11:50 PM
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ASX 200: higher bond yields generating valuation headwinds

Australian stocks don't look particularly cheap, adding to downside risks from earnings disappointments.

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August 21, 2023 08:54 PM
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AUD/USD tumbles again as jobs market softens

Unemployment jumps unexpectedly diminishing the risk of a wage price spiral forming.

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August 16, 2023 10:40 PM
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AUD/USD hits fresh lows as bearish sentiment towards China’s economy intensifies

No matter how you slice or dice it, negatives for the AUD/USD continue to pile up.

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August 15, 2023 09:28 PM
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AUD/USD, USD/CNH whipsawed as PBOC cuts rates

USD/CNH rallies as the PBOC unexpectedly cuts wholesale interest rates. AUD/USD gains on stimulus hopes.

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August 14, 2023 11:16 PM
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USD/JPY: 145 breached yet BOJ intervention seems unlikely

USD/JPY is back to levels where the BOJ intervened last year but that doesn't mean it will do so again.

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August 7, 2023 08:08 PM
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August 7, 2023 08:08 PM
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AUD/USD Post-RBA Weakness Brings Test of July Low

AUD/USD may struggle to hold its ground ahead of the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report if it fails to defend the July low (0.6599).

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By : David Song
August 1, 2023 11:00 AM
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AUD/USD folds as the RBA holds (but DXY hints at support)

The RBA held their interest rate at 4.1% for a second consecutive month. And the fact AUD fell over -0.6% and the ASX touched a high of the week shows that not everyone was positioned for the outcome.

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August 1, 2023 01:37 AM
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AUD/USD pulls back ahead of RBA minutes: Asian Open - 18th July 2023

AUD/USD pulled back for a second day to test 68c following weak GDP data from China. The focus now shifts to today's RBA minutes, where a slightly hawkish undertone could support the Aussie later in the session.

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The Week Ahead: RBA meeting, ISM surveys and Nonfarm payroll in focus

The RBA meet on Tuesday in what could be Governor Lowe’s final meeting, so will he go out with a 25bp bang of fade away with a pause? Employment data for the US includes Nonfarm payrolls, ADP and claims data, and traders also have ISM manufacturing and services reports to look forward to.

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June 30, 2023 12:00 AM

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AUD/USD dragged lower by slower pace of AU inflation

AUD/USD fell to a 3-week low following today’s CPI report, which could see the RBA members sigh in relief as the rate of inflation slows.

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AUD/USD Rate Outlook Hinges on RBA Rate Decision

AUD/USD may attempt to retrace the decline from the monthly high (0.6900) if the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) pursues a more restrictive policy.

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By : David Song
June 27, 2023 01:35 PM
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AUD/USD Forecast: Post-RBA Rally Eyes May High

AUD/USD may attempt to test the May high (0.6818) as it carves a series of higher highs and lows.

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By : David Song
June 12, 2023 03:22 PM