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AUD/USD: focus on underlying inflation, fade moves on headline volatility
In an environment of heightened risk aversion, sluggish global economic growth and continued grind higher in rates, a volatile monthly inflation indicator from Australia doesn’t scream as overly important.
AUD/USD: Australia’s jobs report has few implications for RBA despite jobs surge
Australia’s August labour force survey had something for both AUD/USD bulls and bears, but in the end the detail does not meaningfully change the outlook for interest rates.
AUD/USD: Price action suggests bearish sentiment nearing exhaustion point
AUD/USD downside has slowed despite a lot of negativity, bolstering the case for a near-term bounce ahead of key risk events later this week.
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AUD/USD: China sentiment in the driving seat as RBA settles in for extended pause
With the RBA on the sidelines, it means external factors will continue to drive movements in the AUD, ASX 200 and Australian bond futures for the foreseeable future.
AUD/USD, ASX 200: growing risk of RBA turning neutral on interest rates
A playbook on how the AUD/USD, ASX 200 and Australian bonds should the RBA signal an end to rate hikes.
AUD/USD bounce fizzles as droopy data lessens RBA rate hike risks
AUD/USD slumps on disappointing data, undermining the case for higher interest rates
Hang Seng downside break eyes retest of 2022 lows
Hong Kong’s Hang Seng is arguably the ugliest index chart in the world right now, for good reason.
ASX 200: higher bond yields generating valuation headwinds
Australian stocks don't look particularly cheap, adding to downside risks from earnings disappointments.
AUD/USD tumbles again as jobs market softens
Unemployment jumps unexpectedly diminishing the risk of a wage price spiral forming.
AUD/USD hits fresh lows as bearish sentiment towards China’s economy intensifies
No matter how you slice or dice it, negatives for the AUD/USD continue to pile up.
AUD/USD, USD/CNH whipsawed as PBOC cuts rates
USD/CNH rallies as the PBOC unexpectedly cuts wholesale interest rates. AUD/USD gains on stimulus hopes.
USD/JPY: 145 breached yet BOJ intervention seems unlikely
USD/JPY is back to levels where the BOJ intervened last year but that doesn't mean it will do so again.
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AUD/USD Post-RBA Weakness Brings Test of July Low
AUD/USD may struggle to hold its ground ahead of the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report if it fails to defend the July low (0.6599).
AUD/USD folds as the RBA holds (but DXY hints at support)
The RBA held their interest rate at 4.1% for a second consecutive month. And the fact AUD fell over -0.6% and the ASX touched a high of the week shows that not everyone was positioned for the outcome.
AUD/USD pulls back ahead of RBA minutes: Asian Open - 18th July 2023
AUD/USD pulled back for a second day to test 68c following weak GDP data from China. The focus now shifts to today's RBA minutes, where a slightly hawkish undertone could support the Aussie later in the session.
The Week Ahead: RBA meeting, ISM surveys and Nonfarm payroll in focus
The RBA meet on Tuesday in what could be Governor Lowe’s final meeting, so will he go out with a 25bp bang of fade away with a pause? Employment data for the US includes Nonfarm payrolls, ADP and claims data, and traders also have ISM manufacturing and services reports to look forward to.
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AUD/USD dragged lower by slower pace of AU inflation
AUD/USD fell to a 3-week low following today’s CPI report, which could see the RBA members sigh in relief as the rate of inflation slows.
AUD/USD Rate Outlook Hinges on RBA Rate Decision
AUD/USD may attempt to retrace the decline from the monthly high (0.6900) if the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) pursues a more restrictive policy.
AUD/USD Forecast: Post-RBA Rally Eyes May High
AUD/USD may attempt to test the May high (0.6818) as it carves a series of higher highs and lows.