RBNZ

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NZD/USD: Retail spending volumes stabilise ahead of RBNZ interest rate decision

Retail spending in New Zealand was unchanged in the September quarter after accounting for price movements, an improvement on the 1% drop reported in the prior three-month period than was a tenth larger than originally reported.

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November 23, 2023 05:15 PM
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NZD/USD: Rising labour market slack points to soft wages and no more RBNZ rate hikes

NZD/USD is falling in the wake of a soft New Zealand employment report, reinforcing the view that when the RBNZ next moves interest rates, it’s far more likely to be a cut than hike.

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October 31, 2023 06:28 PM

NZD/USD: Inflation undershoot opens the door to RBNZ rate cuts next year

New Zealand inflationary pressures moderated-more-than expected in the September quarter, taking the wind out of the NZD/USD’s sails following the expected election victory from the National Party-led coalition over the weekend.

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October 16, 2023 06:25 PM

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NZD/USD turns lower as the RBNZ hold rates once more

NZD/USD's break above 60c ahead of the RBNZ's announced that they held rates at 5.5% again was shortly lived, and momentum has turned decisively lower. Ans there could be further downside to come.

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The RBNZ hold rates, AUD/USD breaks out ahead of US CPI

The RBNZ held their cash rate steady for the first time following 12 consecutive hikes, whilst AUD/USD broke above its 200-day MA ahead of a key US inflation report.

RBNZ Preview: NZD/USD Vulnerable to Dovish Forward Guidance

NZD/USD may struggle to defend the opening range for July if the RBNZ adjusts the forward guidance for monetary policy.

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By : David Song
July 10, 2023 02:02 PM
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NZD/USD analysis: The RBNZ’s latest 25bp hike could be their last

NZD pairs were lower after the RBNZ hiked for a 12th consecutive meeting and signalled they may have reached a peak rate of 5.5%. At least for now.

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May 23, 2023 11:17 PM
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AUD/USD, NZD/USD analysis: RBNZ to deliver a hawkish hike?

The RBNZ (Reserve Bank of New Zealand) are expected to hike by another 25bp tomorrow, despite 1 and 2-year inflation expectations plummeting at their fastest pace since the pandemic.

NZD/USD Rate Outlook Hinges on RBNZ Rate Decision

The RBNZ interest rate decision may keep NZD/USD afloat as the central bank is expected to further embark on its hiking-cycle.

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By : David Song
May 22, 2023 02:00 PM
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NZD/USD, AUD/NZD outlook: NZD pairs track headline inflation lower

New Zealander’s can breathe a sigh of relief that their rate of inflation is finally slowing, with both annual and quarterly CPI coming in much less than expected.

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April 19, 2023 08:30 PM

NZD/USD forecast: RBNZ rate decision in focus

The RBNZ rate decision may keep NZD/USD above the 50-Day SMA (0.6275) as the central bank appears to be on track to implement a more restrictive policy.

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By : David Song
April 3, 2023 12:36 PM
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NZD/USD fails again to test monthly high

NZD/USD approaches the weekly low (0.6137) after staging another failed attempt to test the monthly high (0.6276).

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By : David Song
March 16, 2023 02:22 PM
Research

RBNZ could hike by 50bp on Wednesday (but don’t discount a 75bp hike)

Whilst economists and market pricing favour a 50bp RBNZ hike on Wednesday, the potential for a 75bp hike is real.

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February 19, 2023 09:32 PM
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RBNZ deliver a hawkish 75bp hike, FOMC minutes up next

As if 75bp was not enough, the RBNZ came out swinging by increasing their terminal rate much higher than we anticipated.

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“Less Hawkish” RBA weighs on AUD/NZD

With the RBA only hiking rates by 25bps at each of the last two meetings, the RBNZ is the more hawkish of the two central banks.

November 1, 2022 11:05 AM
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Will NZD/USD take out the March 2020 lows?

If the price action is the same after the CPI print as it was after the hawkish RBNZ, then bounces will be sold into and the pair could take out the lows.

October 17, 2022 02:59 PM
downtrend chart

Will NZD/USD take out the March 2020 lows?

If the price action is the same after the CPI print as it was after the hawkish RBNZ, then bounces will be sold into and the pair could take out the lows.

October 17, 2022 02:59 PM

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The RBNZ hiked by 50bp – but a 75bp hike was considered

The RBNZ hiked for an eight consecutive meeting to take interest rates to 3.5%.

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The RBNZ hiked by 50bp – but a 75bp hike was considered

The RBNZ hiked for an eight consecutive meeting to take interest rates to 3.5%.

NZ business sentiment is less dire, RBNZ hint at rate cycle high

Business sentiment is not as pessimistic as it recently was, and RBNZ governor Orr described the central bank’s tightening cycle as ‘very mature’.

RBNZ Review Hawkish Orr strike fails to boost bird - NZDUSD

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has today raised the Official Cash Rate by 50 basis points to 3%. It is the RBNZ’s fourth straight 50bp hike in a row, in a tightening cycle that started back in October.

August 16, 2022 11:43 PM

August RBNZ Preview and what next for the NZDUSD

At its meeting tomorrow, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is widely expected to raise the Official Cash Rate by 50 basis points taking the cash rate to 3%. It will be the RBNZ’s fourth consecutive 50bp hike in a tightening cycle that started in October.

August 15, 2022 09:57 PM

NZDUSD remains grounded despite a third straight 50bp RBNZ rate hike

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has today raised the Official Cash Rate by 50 basis points to 2.50%. It was the RBNZ’s third straight 50bp hike in a row, in a tightening cycle that started back in October.

July 12, 2022 11:48 PM