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Forex Friday: USD/JPY, Yields and peak inflation?

In this week’s edition, we discuss the re-pricing of future rate hikes and potential for peak inflation, and how all this is helping to fuel a rally in zero- and low-yielding assets.

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Silver: Can precious metals rebound despite Fed tightening?

We are seeing some mild dollar selling ahead of FOMC, which is boosting the appeal of precious metals, yen and franc

Precious metals start busy week firmer

Investors know that front-loading of interest rates around the world is only going to bring a potential recession – and therefore interest rate cuts – sooner.

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July 25, 2022 12:48 PM

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Commitment of traders report (COT): Bulls return to the yen

Whilst traders remain heavily net-short Japanese yen futures, we’ve taken note that gross longs have risen to their highest level since March 2021.

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Recession Trade Keeps Risk Assets Under Pressure

Fears over a recession continues to drive financial markets, with commodities feeling the heat

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Gold eyes bounce around $1800 as stocks remain volatile

gold has been a victim of a strong US dollar and rising bond yields, making this non-interest-bearing commodity less appealing for yield seekers.

Can Silver hang on?

Silver (XAG/USD) has tumbled over 19% since April 18th.


China’s service PMI gets served, base metals lower

Covid reared its ugly head again on economic data, which saw China’s service PMI contract at its fastest pace since the pandemic.

Asian Open: Futures point to a brighter open, commodities lower

Tentative signs that the war between Russia and Ukraine could end sooner than expected and hints of a compromise from Ukraine helped Wall Street bounce overnight.

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Weekly COT Report: Traders abandon the ruble, flock to gold and silver

Traders continued to pile into long bets on gold and silver last week, whilst offshore ruble speculators seemingly ran for cover.

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Asian Open: Ukraine crisis weighs on Europe, Silver bulls eye $26

European equity markets and the euro currency sustained heavy losses on Friday as fighting in Ukraine showed no signs of receding.

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European Open: FTSE struggles at 7600, silver tries to carve out a low

Whilst the FTSE has been one of the stronger performers during a risk-off period for equities, 7600 remains a level which defies its next breakout.

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Weekly COT Report: NZD flips to net-short as bulls capitulate

Kiwi bulls appeared spooked last week as we saw gross longs closed at their second fastest rate on record.

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Gold outlook 2022: Will precious metals get back on track after a lacklustre 2021?

There are sufficient tailwinds in the global economy and the possibility of further geopolitical tensions to give gold support, but not necessarily drive prices higher...

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December 16, 2021 02:54 PM

Gold and Silver running into resistance. Time for a correction?

The next direction of these precious metals may depend on the inflation readings due out next week

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November 12, 2021 04:41 PM

Asian Open: The Dollar Retains Dominance, Yet Silver Defies Its Strength

The US dollar extended gains against all its major peers. Yet that didn’t prevent silver from breaking above $25 and confirming a multi-month reversal.

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Asian Open: It’s Raining Yen, Hallelujah

If weekend reports are to be believed, large stimulus packages are to be announced in Japan which include cash handouts to all children aged 18 and below, regardless of household income.

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Weekly COT Report: Bulls Have All but Abandoned the Swiss Franc

The long / short ratio of bulls to bears on the Swiss franc hit a record low last week, which suggests we may be approaching a sentiment extreme for bearish positioning.

[Video] Silver Rally Falters Below $25

Silver’s short-covering rally has covered an impressive 15% rise over the past 17 session, suggesting it may be time to mean revert.

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October 25, 2021 04:08 AM

What does rising inflation and tapering mean for Silver and Gold?

As part of its support for the economy, the Federal Reserve is currently buying $120 billion of bonds per month under its quantitative easing program.

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October 22, 2021 01:47 AM
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Asian Open: Wall Street Higher on Positive Earnings and Economic Data

We look on track for a strong close this week for equity markets, further cementing our view that their corrective lows were printed earlier this month.

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Asian Open: USD Lower Despite Strong CPI and Hawkish Fed

It appears to be a case of “buy the rumour, sell the fact” for the US dollar, as prospects of higher inflation effectively confirming a November taper and earlier hike sent the dollar lower.

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93 is Key for The Dollar Index, Dow Outperforms

The risk-on environment saw dollars quickly offloaded yesterday, which pushed the dollar index down to a key support level at 93.0.