
GBPUSD Analysis Pound holds firm after BoE decision
The pound sterling has started to show relevant strength against the U.S. dollar. At the moment, GBP/USD has gained slightly more than 1.3% in the short term, reflecting an important buying bias.
Stay in step with market opportunities and get insights, actionable trade ideas and dedicated support.

The pound sterling has started to show relevant strength against the U.S. dollar. At the moment, GBP/USD has gained slightly more than 1.3% in the short term, reflecting an important buying bias.

GBP/JPY has flown up to a fresh 18-year high and even with a recent bout of USD-strength, GBP/USD has held up relatively well.

The week ends with GBP/USD down around -0.6%, reflecting a clear loss of short-term momentum in the pound sterling. At the same time, the US dollar is showing renewed stability and continues to hold a stronger demand bias against its main rivals.

During today’s session, a consistent neutral bias has continued to shape GBP/USD price action in the short term, with the pair showing barely a 0.1% variation.

The British Pound has held up well, outperforming the Euro for the past two weeks. And now the dominant trends in both GBP/USD and GBP/JPY have shown pullbacks and support tests.

As the trading week progresses, GBPUSD has shown a decline of around 0.4%, with weakness in the pound and strength in the U.S. dollar.

The British Pound was flying high just a month ago on the way to fresh four-year highs but GBP/USD has funneled into a falling wedge since then with a massive test at the 1.3500 psychological level.

GBP/USD has now recorded three consecutive bearish sessions in the short term, resulting in a decline of more than 1%, reflecting a renewed and consistent selling bias in recent price action.

The FTSE 100 edged higher to close in on last week’s record, as the pound weakened following the release of UK wages and Jobs data that puts a March rate cut firmly on the table, barring any surprises in tomorrow’s inflation report. Unless we see a sharp turnaround in data, I would be expecting another rate cut in June, and possibly more in the summer if inflation risks ease. This should keep the longer term FTSE 100 forecast firmly supported and keep a lid on sterling.

Markets remain positioned for further Bank of England easing even as inflation sits above target. The next run of UK labour market and CPI figures will help determine whether that optimism is justified or prematurely priced.

In just two trading sessions, and as the week approaches its close, GBP/USD has fallen by more than 1.2%, signaling a clear bearish bias in the short term. Selling pressure intensified shortly after the Bank of England (BoE) decision.

GBP/USD broke out in a big way two weeks ago as the US Dollar was melting down and the pair can still be justified for USD-weakness scenarios, although the backdrop in GBP/JPY may be cleaner for such a push as we go into tomorrow’s Bank of England rate decision.

GBP/USD has rallied up to a fresh four-month high and remains one of the more attractive major pairs for USD-weakness, although a rush of Yen-strength has brought question to GBP/JPY.
This report is intended for general circulation only. It should not be construed as a recommendation, or an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any financial products. The information provided does not take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs. Before you act on any recommendation that may be contained in this report, independent advice ought to be sought from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment product, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs.
StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd., may distribute reports produced by its respective foreign entities or affiliates within the StoneX group of companies or third parties pursuant to an arrangement under Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. Where the report is distributed to a person in Singapore who is not an accredited investor, expert investor or an institutional investor (as defined in the Securities Futures Act), StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd. accepts legal responsibility to such persons for the contents of the report only to the extent required by law. Singapore recipients should contact StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd. at 6826 9988 for matters arising from, or in connection with the report.
In the case of all other recipients of this report, to the extent permitted by applicable laws and regulations neither StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd. nor its associated companies will be responsible or liable for any loss or damage incurred arising out of, or in connection with, any use of the information contained in this report and all such liability is hereby expressly disclaimed. No representation or warranty is made, express or implied, that the content of this report is complete or accurate.
StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd. is not under any obligation to update this report.
Trading CFDs carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for some investors. Consider your investment objectives, level of experience, financial resources, risk appetite and other relevant circumstances carefully. The possibility exists that you could lose some or all of your investments, including your initial deposits. If in doubt, please seek independent expert advice. Visit www.forex.com/en-sg/terms-and-policies for the complete Risk Disclosure Statement.