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Nasdaq 100 forecast: Tech stocks remain under pressure despite mid terms rally

The Democratic sweep in the US midterms delivered the negative dollar reaction I had anticipated, but that upsurge in stocks was not something I or many others had anticipated. Fears that a Democrat-controlled Congress would trigger a broader sell-off in technology stocks proved premature. Nevertheless, the sector remains under pressure. The political outcome may help explain the Nasdaq’s relative underperformance with futures falling 0.8% today. Sharp falls in shares of Arm and Qualcomm following their results are certainly not helping. While the removal of midterm uncertainty provided a broad-based boost to risk appetite yesterday, investors may be starting to price in the prospect of tighter regulatory scrutiny of Big Tech, particularly around AI, under greater Democratic influence in Congress. This could become a headwind for technology valuations, even if the immediate impact on corporate earnings remains unclear.

dax-record-high-banks-cyclicals-election-relief-rally-european-stocks

The DAX has surged to fresh record highs as investors continue to rotate into banks, industrials and cyclical stocks following the US midterm elections. Falling bond yields, lower oil prices and improving sentiment have supported risk appetite across Europe, helping the index move decisively above 26,000. The focus now shifts from political relief to whether earnings and macroeconomic data can justify the rally's next leg higher.

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