USD/CNH

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If USD/CNH is the canary in the coalmine, USD/JPY might be in trouble

A bearish reversal pattern has formed on USD/CNH which implies a move down to 7.10. And if the yuan continues to strengthen, it could see the yen follow and scupper USD/JPY attempt at breaking 152.

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February 21, 2024 07:12 AM
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USD/JPY, USD/CNH uptrends under threat as dollar rally splutters

The US dollar rally since the start of the year is showing signs of fatigue, unable to build upon gains last week despite widening yield differential between the United States and other major nations, including in Asia.

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February 20, 2024 02:57 AM

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china_02

Hang Seng, China A50 and CNH need sustained rally to turn bearish China narrative around

There is a real confidence problem right now towards China. And while the underlying reasons are complex, the easiest way to change the prevailing bearish narrative is for the price action to turnaround. Price leads narrative.

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January 24, 2024 03:16 AM
china_02

USD/CNH down, A50 up as weak Chinese inflation keeps stimulus hopes alive

Chinese inflationary pressures remain weak, whether it be upstream or for consumers. But with expectations for further stimulus from the Chinese policymakers baked in the cake, does it have implications for China’s equity market or currency?

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January 12, 2024 03:46 AM
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AUD/USD going backwards as Asia FX struggles with a resurgent US dollar

It’s hard to get excited about the prospects for Asian currencies when you see Chinese inflation data as weak as those released on Saturday, signifying that despite an increasingly lengthy list of measures to support activity, the world’s second-largest economy is operating well below its potential level.

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December 11, 2023 06:05 AM
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AUD/USD, USD/CNH: PMIs suggest China’s economy is nearing stall speed

Chinese economic activity is nearing stall speed with the government’s purchasing managers indexes (PMIs) falling further in November, surprising markets to the downside for a second consecutive month.

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November 30, 2023 03:17 AM
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AUD/USD hits resistance pre-CPI as USD/JPY, USD/CNH probe support: Asian Open

With USD/CNH and USD/JPY probing key support levels, we may require a break of them for AUD/USD to stand a chance of continuing its strong rally (which met strong resistance on Tuesday). Unless of course Australia is treated to an uncomfortably hot inflation report today, which could fan fears of another RBA hike.

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November 28, 2023 10:46 PM
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US dollar bears running out of steam? AUD/USD, USD/JPY: Asian Open

We watched with bated breath to see if USD/CNH would break its 200-day average on Tuesday and pave the way for the next bout of US dollar weakness. Yet with that key level holding as support, it leaves room for some US dollar strength, a higher USD/JPY and weaker AUD/USD.

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November 21, 2023 11:26 PM
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AUD/USD rises as RBA min retain hawkish bias, USD/JPY, USD/CNH slide continues

There was a risk that the RBA’s minutes were more hawkish than their November statement had let on, and this certainly seems to be the case. And hawkish minutes alongside a lower USD/CNH and USD/JPY have helped AUD/USD test a new cycle high today. Can it now gun for 66?

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November 21, 2023 02:47 AM
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USD/JPY, AUD/USD: Chinese yuan strength a bullish signal for Asian FX names

The latest episode of US economic exceptionalism may be coming to an end, resulting in US bond yields and US dollar coming off their highs. Major Asian FX names like the Japanese yen and Chinese yuan have been taking note, strengthening further against the buck on Friday.

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November 20, 2023 02:16 AM
china_02

AUD/USD, USD/CNH: Aussie dollar’s China proxy tag put to the test

AUD/USD is widely regarded as being a proxy for all things China: it’s economic performance, trends in financial markets and even the Chinese currency, the yuan.

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November 15, 2023 02:36 AM
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Dollar analysis: USD/CNH in focus ahead of key events

The USD/CNH pair has been stuck in a tight range, unable to move in either direction. In recent days, the US dollar has weakened a little across the board owing to recent signs of peak interest rates in the US. But expectations that interest rates will remain elevated for a long period of time means that the greenback continues to find support against weaker currencies like the yuan and yen, among others.

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November 9, 2023 03:30 PM
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China A50, USD/CNH: Prime reversal candidates should US economic exceptionalism falter

It’s been a rough year for Chinese markets with the A50 share index and CNH down sharply as hopes for booming economic activity coming out of the pandemic failed to materialise.

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November 7, 2023 12:17 AM
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USD/CNH, A50: Bearish breaks as Chinese property prices keep on falling

Optimism towards China’s GDP, retail sales and industrial output beats didn’t last long with the A50 and USD/CNH resuming their unwind following more data showing property market weakness.

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October 19, 2023 05:43 AM