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Week Ahead: Traders mull peak inflation heading into “retail week”

This week expect to see more follow through price action from US inflation data and a focus on the consumer

Currency exchange rate board of multiple currencies

Forex Friday: EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY

In this week’s edition, we discuss the dollar’s recovery despite weaker inflation data, and talk up the prospects of the euro, pound and yen.

Gold dips despite softening signs of inflation

Perhaps a bit of basing and consolidation is needed for the metal to gear up for a clean breakout above $1800.

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August 11, 2022 05:17 PM

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USD/JPY heading to 130?

With the odds of 75 basis point hike having dropped, the Fed is careful not to push too hard against that...

Currency exchange rate board of multiple currencies

Weak US CPI means EUR/USD 1.05 no longer unrealistic

The US inflation report lived up to expectations in terms of market impact!

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August 10, 2022 06:30 PM

US CPI recap: A turning point in the inflation debate?

If the “peak inflation” theme gathers steam in the coming weeks, we may look back at today’s inflation reading as a major turning point for the year-to-date market trends.

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August 10, 2022 01:55 PM
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US CPI preview: Are we past peak inflation?

Headline inflation reading may show price pressures fading while the Fed’s preferred “core” (ex-energy and food) CPI measure shows that underlying inflation is still rising

Currency pair of the week: AUD/USD

All eyes will be on US CPI, undoubtedly the week's most important macro release on Wednesday.

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August 8, 2022 12:40 PM
Research

GBP/USD: What doesn’t kill you makes you stronger

GBP/USD is down only modestly despite so much negative news...

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August 5, 2022 05:41 PM
Market chart

Heed the SNB’s warning if inflation reading is high!

The SNB has already given warnings that it could take monetary policy action between meetings if necessary.

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August 2, 2022 08:40 PM
Currency exchange rate board of multiple currencies

Japan data dump won’t help the Yen; USD/JPY

If the data dump later comes out as expected, will the BOJ turn less dovish? It's unlikely.

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July 28, 2022 07:59 PM
Research

AU Q2 inflation surges but fears ease over supersized 75bp RBA rate hike

June quarter Australian inflation data has surged to 6.1%, but below consensus expectations easing fears of a supersized 75bp rate hike when the RBA meets next week.

Bank notes of different currencies

Mexico CPI continues to rise; rate hikes not helping yet

The headline mid-month inflation rate for July is 8.16% YoY , led primarily by rising food costs. This is the highest level of inflation in 21 years!

Canada CPI weaker than expected – Peak inflation?

Although the June CPI reading for Canada was higher than the May reading, the headline was much lower than expected.

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July 20, 2022 03:28 PM
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Traders see continued rate hikes over the next year, despite concerns of a recession

Will central banks be able to raise rates fast enough to keep higher inflation at bay, while simultaneously keeping the world out of a recession?

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July 18, 2022 08:30 PM
Gold nuggets

Gold rises, dollar slumps despite hot CPI

Hot CPI readings may hurt the economy so badly that the Fed may start cutting rates again in as early as Q1

US CPI comes in hot! US Dollar on the move

The US CPI print came out much hotter than expected 9.1% YoY. This print, combined with the strong employment data, should give the Fed confidence to hike at least 75bps

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July 13, 2022 03:05 PM

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US CPI preview: Will inflation overshoot again?

Annual CPI is expected to have accelerated to 8.8% in June from 8.6% in May.

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Two trades to watch: GBP/USD, USD/CAD

GBP/USD rises after UK GDP, US CPI next, USD/CAD awaits the BoC rate decision.

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July 13, 2022 08:17 AM
Bank notes of different currencies

EUR/USD remains undermined on mixed Eurozone CPI

Inflation hits a fresh record high in the Eurozone

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July 1, 2022 12:03 PM
Research

European Open: Keep an eye on Germany's Regional CPI’s

The first (of several) regional inflation reports for Germany came in soft this morning, and that could be a lead for Germany’s broad CPI released at lunch today.

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June 29, 2022 06:24 AM
Bank notes of different currencies

Bank of Mexico hikes 75bps after higher inflation reading

Will USD/MXN continue lower? It may depend on whether the central bank decides to hike another 75bps at its August meeting!

Bank notes of different currencies

Bank of Mexico hikes 75bps after higher inflation reading

Will USD/MXN continue lower? It may depend on whether the central bank decides to hike another 75bps at its August meeting!